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        成化碗拍高價事出偶然:不影響內地藝術市場

        2013-10-30 23:14:13

        來源: 京華時報 作者: 艾華

          2009年以來,內地的拍賣場上開始出現過億元的拍品,其中多出自中國書畫;此次香港過億的拍品分別為當代藝術、鉆石、瓷器和佛像,書畫拍品一件都沒有,表明了書畫市場還遠沒有恢復到2年前的高峰。

          成化碗拍高價事出偶然

          過億巨鉆對內地無影響當代藝術反彈還需時日品種不斷開發導致輪漲

          在剛剛過去的國慶長假里,香港首輪秋拍一直在火熱情緒中進行。10月4日到9日,中國嘉德(香港)、香港蘇富比、北京保利(香港)等拍賣行在香港輪番舉槌,短短數日,共拍出價值近57億港元的收藏品。其中,蘇富比為期五天的拍賣總成交額為41.96億港元;中國嘉德(香港)5.1億元港元成交額圓滿收槌,相比今年春拍2.9億港元的總成交,增幅約76%。北京保利(香港)一連三天的秋拍成交額達到了9.8億元,較上季大幅增長53%。

          2009年以來,內地的拍賣場上開始出現過億元的拍品,其中多出自中國書畫;此次香港過億的拍品分別為當代藝術、鉆石、瓷器和佛像,書畫拍品一件都沒有,表明了書畫市場還遠沒有恢復到2年前的高峰。

          近些年,中國明清瓷器中過億的拍品在國際上已經出現了好幾件。只要是難得一見的精品,無論是元青花還是清乾隆,其在歐美市場上出現高價已毫不奇怪。這件明成化青花碗流傳有序,收藏界一致看好,出現天價在情理之中。這些年來,中國瓷器市場造假猖狂、高仿充斥、真偽難辨、打眼無數,內地拍賣市場上難出精品、可信度不佳,拍賣場上買氣明顯不足。成化碗的高價應該只是偶然出現,過億并不能代表瓷器市場的黃金時代已經到來。今后,內地瓷器市場也許依舊會延續2006年以來一直出現的死水微瀾、持續盤整的格局。

          過億巨鉆對內地無影響

          巨型鉆石拍賣出天價在國際上也不是新鮮事,只要克拉數夠大、凈度夠高就行了。國際上的珠寶拍賣中心主要在瑞士、倫敦和香港,各類彩鉆巨鉆、高端翡翠一直是珠寶首飾中的高價創造者。但是,內地珠寶首飾拍賣還處于初級階段,珠寶拍賣場上創出千萬元級的紀錄都不容易。筆者以為,只有到了內地民眾的投資熱逐漸轉為收藏熱和實用裝飾熱時才有可能出現高端珠寶首飾的拍賣熱潮。因此,此時這件巨鉆的過億天價也許并不能對內地藝術品拍賣市場有什么影響。

          當代藝術反彈還需時日

          曾梵志當代藝術作品的過億成交也許是由于這件作品的題材有別于他的其他作品而受到了收藏者關注。網上盛傳該高價有炒作之嫌,而實際上,2006年中國當代藝術在紐約蘇富比拍賣場上的一鳴驚人,就伴隨著炒作的傳言,這當然由于其拔地而起的價格,因為其并不乏廣泛的收藏群體。藝術家在世時畫作就出現天價的情況并不是現在才有,從80年前著名畫家畢加索在世時就已經出現在法國。經紀代理和營銷手段對于畫家的市場運作必不可缺,否則就難以說清楚為什么當代藝術還貴過了那些存世近千年的珍稀古代藝術品。如今的信息快速傳播和共享的年代為這些在世藝術家作品的運作帶來了前所未有的便捷。問題在于,缺乏大眾收藏和裝飾基礎的當代藝術品何時能從2006年以來一直下滑中真正觸底反彈?恐怕也不是這件過億的拍賣價所能完全引導得了的。

          品種不斷開發導致輪漲

          明永樂鎏金銅“釋迦牟尼佛”坐像似乎代表了市場趨勢,佛像價格近兩年一直看漲,只是這件價格突然過2億有點讓人瞠目結舌。古代工藝品和佛教的題材終歸是會被人們所認識的。當中國書畫、瓷器等紛紛價格高企之后,就逐漸會輪漲到那些小品種,今后,古籍善本、古董家具、傳統油畫都早晚有過億的一天。投資需求的不斷滿足、投資風險的不斷規避、投資品種的不斷開發和選擇,都最終會形成市場價格的“輪漲”,即“你方唱罷我登場”,“各領風騷三五年”。

          總的來說,也許這幾個過億高價品并不能對未來內地的藝術品市場說明和預測出什么,但這次香港首輪秋拍的人氣、成交都是很不錯的,表明了中國藝術品市場繼續回升的勢頭沒有減弱。將于十一、十二月份舉行的內地多輪秋季拍賣活動一定會繼續高歌猛進。或許,內地秋拍中帶頭的“天價”品種不再是幾年前創新高的近現代中國書畫,而會出現在古代書畫、古籍善本、佛像、油畫、古典家具等品種當中。

          ◎季濤(中央財經大學拍賣研究中心研究員)


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